New Paper Published

Apr 23, 2026, 09:33

An Actuarial Perspective on Decumulation Risks: How to Utilize Home Equity to Mitigate Spike Expense

Authors: Peter Neuwirth, FSA, FCA, Barry Sacks PhD, JD, Stephen Sacks PhD, Tim Genda PhD
  
Ensuring a reliable, lifelong income is one of the most complex challenges retirees face. Beyond Social Security and traditional pensions, most retirees rely on investment portfolios and home equity to fund retirement—often requiring assets to be sold over time. This creates the “decumulation problem,” described by William Sharpe as one of the toughest issues in finance.
  
Retirees must manage several key risks: longevity risk (outliving assets), sequence of returns risk (selling assets during market downturns), and spike expense risk—unexpected, large expenses that disrupt financial plans. While longevity and market risks are well studied, spike expense risk is gaining attention, particularly because its impact is greatest when asset values are low.
  

Research shows that timing matters significantly, as unexpected costs during downturns can accelerate asset depletion. Strategies that incorporate home equity may help mitigate these risks. Ongoing research continues to explore how better modeling of these factors can strengthen retirement income planning.

Download the Paper