Sessions

001 - Thinking Stochastically in a Point Estimate World October 27, 2019 5:15 PM - 6:55 PM

Actuaries are being challenged to do more stochastic modeling, which basically means calculating and showing a range of potential outcomes. Yet, the world always seems to just want to know “THE number.” How can actuaries effectively do both…communicate the needed and desired answer as well as illustrate the range of potential answers?

In this session presenters review language in the actuarial code of conduct language and ASOPs that govern actuarial communications and ranges of outcomes, show some examples of illustrating point estimates and ranges of outcomes, and have a robust discussion about these issues.

Session Category
Cross Discipline
Credits
EA Non-Core2.00
CPD2.00

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2019 CCA Annual Meeting

2019 CCA Annual Meeting Preliminary Program

 

Special Thanks to our Sponsors

Buck Gabriel Roeder Smith & Co. Pacific Life

 

Sessions:

Speakers

  • 1 Thomas S. Terry The Terry Group
  • 2 Elena V. Black The Terry Group
  • 3 Riddhi Patel AT&T
  • 4 Lisa A. Dietrich Mercer
  • 5 Victoria L. Sefcik Willis Towers Watson
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 David M. Tuomala Optum
  • 2 Brigen L. Winters Groom Law Group
  • 3 Nick Ortner Milliman Inc.
  • 4 Jeffrey T. Gavlick Tokio Marine HCC
  • 1 Jay K. Egelberg First Actuarial Consulting, Inc.
  • 2 Deborah K. Brigham Segal Consulting
  • 1 David M. Tuomala Optum
  • 2 Dan Hoffman Optum
  • 3 Joseph B. Altman United Healthcare
  • 4 JoAnn Bogolin Bolton Health Actuarial, Inc.
  • 5 Annie C Brown Annie Brown, Consulting Actuary, PLLC
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Koren L. Holden Colorado PERA
  • 2 William R. Hallmark Cheiron, Inc.
  • 3 R. Evan Inglis Independent Consultant
  • 4 Christopher Hanson City of Austin Employees' Retirement System
  • 5 Adrienne Cara Ostroff Deloitte Consulting LLP
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Craig P. Rosenthal Mercer
  • 2 Grace Barbieri Mercer
  • 3 Jay Dinunzio Mercer
  • 4 Russell S. Proctor Pacific Life Insurance Co.
  • 1 Julie M. Ferguson Mercer
  • 2 Suzanne C. Wyatt Willis Towers Watson
  • 3 Lawrence E. Scherer Findley
  • 4 Jody B. Carreiro Osborn Carreiro & Associates, Inc.
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Lance J. Weiss Gabriel Roeder Smith & Company
  • 2 Brian B. Murphy Gabriel, Roeder, Smith & Company
  • 3 Sherry S. Chan New York City Office of the Actuary
  • 4 Rick C. Reed California State Teachers' Ret. Sys.
  • 5 Joseph Michael Kropiewnicki Deloitte Consulting LLP
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Scott A. Hittner October Three LLC
  • 2 David N. Levine Groom Law Group, Chartered
  • 3 Sherrie Boutwell Boutwell Fay LLP
  • 1 Cheryl A. Ham Aon
  • 2 James Guy Optum
  • 3 Robert Mayer Optum
  • 1 Todd Buchholz
  • 1 Edward M. Pudlowski MorningStar Actuarial Consulting, LLC
  • 2 Maria M. Sarli Willis Towers Watson
  • 3 John H. Lowell October Three Consulting LLC
  • 4 Thomas A. Swain Findley
  • 1 Scott A. Hittner October Three LLC
  • 2 Michael F. Pollack Willis Towers Watson
  • 3 Brian C. Donohue October Three LLC
  • 4 Carolyn E. Zimmerman Internal Revenue Service
  • 1 Thomas S. Terry The Terry Group
  • 2 Jonathan Schwabish Urban Institute & Policy Viz
  • 3 Todd David Kanaster S&P Global Ratings
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Paul Angelo Segal Consulting
  • 2 David Draine The Pew Charitable Trusts
  • 3 Leonard Gilroy Reason Foundation
  • 4 Dan Doonan National Institute on Retirement Security
  • 5 Phillip Alan Souzek Deloitte Consulting LLP
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Stacey Marie Schmid Prudential Retirement
  • 2 Matthew Sampogna Principal Financial Group
  • 3 Andrew Marcus Fidelity Investments
  • 4 Lauren Meyer River and Mercantile
  • 5 Chad M. Little Freiman Little Actuaries, LLC
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Jay K. Egelberg First Actuarial Consulting, Inc.
  • 2 Amy C. Viener Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.
  • 3 Theodore A. Goldman Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.
  • 4 James J. Donofrio Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.
  • 5 R. Evan Inglis Independent Consultant
  • 1 Yi-Ling Lin The Terry Group
  • 2 Jane H. Jensen Willis Towers Watson
  • 3 Heather Russo The Walt Disney Company
  • 4 Steven D. Draper Ernst & Young, LLP
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Dale H. Yamamoto Red Quill Consulting
  • 2 Josh Reinstein Milliman Inc.
  • 3 Seth Serxner OptumInsight
  • 4 Peter Sanderson Aetna
  • 5 Tim Jarvis Mercer
  • 1 Jeffrey Kays Buck
  • 1 Joseph P. Strazemski Buck
  • 2 Katie B. Kohn Groom Law Group
  • 3 Robert Newman Covington & Burling LLP
  • 1 David R. Godofsky Alston & Bird, LLP
  • 2 Margaret S. Berger Mercer
  • 3 Kerl Chai-Hong Willis Towers Watson
  • 4 S. Kevin Sullivan Findley
  • 1 Mike Spetko Deloitte Consulting LLP
  • 2 Daniel Weber Aon
  • 3 Kelly Conlin Buck
  • 4 Brian D. Makuck Buck
  • 1 Mike Spetko Deloitte Consulting LLP
  • 2 LeRoy House ABB
  • 3 Brandon Robert Smith Deloitte Consulting LLP
  • 4 Vaibhavi V. Patel Aon
  • 5 Yueh Phing (Jessica) Chung Deloitte Consulting LLP
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Phillip A. Merdinger October Three
  • 2 Joseph R. House PCA Pension Advisory
  • 3 Joel I. Krasnow Milbank
  • 4 Kelly Lynn Karger Willis Towers Watson
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Stephanie Calandro Willis Towers Watson
  • 2 Brooke Brownlow H-E-B
  • 3 Mac McCarthy MorningStar Actuarial Consulting, LLC
  • 4 Courtney A. Stubblefield Willis Towers Watson
  • 1 Richard O. Goehring Richard O. Goehring, Inc.
  • 2 Lisa G. Ullman PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP
  • 3 Nick C. Thornley Ernst & Young, LLP
  • 4 Philip Bonanno Grant Thornton LLP
  • 5 Urmi Nayak Ernst & Young, LLP
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Todd N. Tauzer Segal
  • 2 Keith Brainard NASRA
  • 3 Paul Angelo Segal Consulting
  • 4 William R. Hallmark Cheiron, Inc.
  • 5 Adrienne Cara Ostroff Deloitte Consulting LLP
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Dale H. Yamamoto Red Quill Consulting
  • 2 Joan C. Barrett Axene Health Partners, LLC
  • 1 James L. Jones EY
  • 2 Douglas J. Carey
  • 3 William Gorton Johnson & Johnson
  • 1 Richard O. Goehring Richard O. Goehring, Inc.
  • 2 Tonya B. Manning Buck
  • 3 Ellen L. Kleinstuber Bolton Partners, Inc.
  • 4 James G. Berberian Buck
  • 5 Carolyn E. Zimmerman Internal Revenue Service
  • 1 Julian Gardner RBC Wealth Management
  • 2 Keletso Newton Willis Towers Watson
  • 3 Erik Jason Vaklyes Willis Towers Watson
  • 1 David J. Kershner Buck
  • 2 David N. Levine Groom Law Group, Chartered
  • 3 Keith Brainard NASRA
  • 1 Stephen N. Eisenstein KPMG
  • 2 Kristine Ann Coogan KPMG
  • 3 Susan D. Gagne KPMG, LLP
  • 4 Christopher Laux Ernst & Young, LLP
  • 5 Marvin Lee Stokes Mercer
  • 1 Ross Mark Krinsky Fidelity Investments
  • 2 Kenneth A. Steiner
  • 3 Thomas L. Totten Nyhart
  • 4 Susanne Simon Buck Global, LLC
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Douglas J. Carey
  • 2 Fernanda Salas Avendano Vitalis
  • 3 Dean W. Kepraios Willis Towers Watson
  • 1 Jay K. Egelberg First Actuarial Consulting, Inc.
  • 2 Joshua Shapiro Groom Law Group
  • 1 Joseph C. Anzalone River and Mercantile
  • 2 David Allan Sawyer Retirement Horizons, Inc.
  • 3 Kaushik Mehta Mercer
  • 1 Trevis G. Parson Willis Towers Watson
  • 2 Stuart H. Alden Aon
  • 3 Kristin Anne McKee Willis Towers Watson
  • 1 Robert W. Bruechert Willis Towers Watson
  • 2 John H. Lowell October Three Consulting LLC
  • 3 G. William Tysse McGuireWoods
  • 4 Robert M. Cipolla McGuireWoods
  • 5 David Scharf Buck
  • 1 John Malcolm Merrill Nyhart
  • 2 Ellen L. Kleinstuber Bolton Partners, Inc.
  • 3 Christopher Roy Snell Colgate-Palmolive
  • 4 Amy B. Krajci Willis Towers Watson
  • 5 Carolyn E. Zimmerman Internal Revenue Service
  • 6 James H. Franken Pacific Benefit Services
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Mariah Becker NCCMP
  • 2 James Andrew Nolan Segal Consulting
  • 1 Tanya E. Sun Mercer
  • 2 Dean W. Kepraios Willis Towers Watson
  • 3 Edward M. Pudlowski MorningStar Actuarial Consulting, LLC
  • 4 Trevis G. Parson Willis Towers Watson
  • 5 Justin N. Hornburg American Benefits Consulting
  • 6 Cheryl A. Ham Aon
  • 7 Koren L. Holden Colorado PERA
  • 1 Michael J. de Leon Deloitte Consulting LLP
  • 2 Sherry S. Chan New York City Office of the Actuary
  • 1 Alan J. Silver Willis Towers Watson
  • 2 Jim Payne SelectHealth
  • 3 Debra Friesen Kaiser Permanente
  • 4 Austin Aldrich Kaiser Permanente
  • 1 John J. Schubert Deloitte Consulting LLP
  • 2 James J. Rizzo Gabriel Roeder Smith & Company
  • 3 Jim Whelpley Rael & Letson
  • 4 John R. Mallows Deloitte Consulting LLP
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Jeremy P. Olszewski Fidelity Investments
  • 2 Stuart H. Alden Aon
  • 3 Richard D. Stover Buck
  • 4 Hope C. Manion Fidelity Investments
  • 5 Steven D. Draper Ernst & Young, LLP
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Lance Paul Roteman Northeast Professional Planning Group
  • 2 Steven Robert Pribis SR Retirement Consulting, LLC
  • 3 William J. Sheffler San Diego Analytics
  • 1 Jerry Mingione The Terry Group
  • 2 R. Evan Inglis Independent Consultant
  • 3 Elena V. Black The Terry Group
  • 1 David M. Tuomala Optum
  • 2 Edward M. Pudlowski MorningStar Actuarial Consulting, LLC
  • 3 Annette V James Nevada Division of Insurance
  • 4 Kev Coleman AssociationHealthPlans.com
  • 1 Yi-Ling Lin The Terry Group
  • 2 James Dolstad Optum
  • 3 Edward T. Dean Optum
  • 4 Steven G. Parsons Findley
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Robert W. Bruechert Willis Towers Watson
  • 2 Robert M. Cipolla McGuireWoods
  • 3 Sarah Bassler Millar Drinker Biddle & Reath LLP
  • 4 Sonja J. Coffin Fidelity Investments
  • 5 Ruth E. Schau TIAA
  • 6 Eric Lynn Foster GuideStone Financial Resources SBC
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Thomas S. Tomczyk Buck
  • 2 Gail Levenson Buck
  • 3 Peter Stewart, PharmD Medimpact
  • 1 Nicholas Boothman
  • 1 Paul M. Sepe Willis Towers Watson
  • 2 Shekar Nalle Pilli Venkateswara Willis Towers Watson
  • 3 Charlotte Nagy USAA
  • 1 Elizabeth A. Wiley Cheiron, Inc.
  • 2 James G. Berberian Buck
  • 3 Robert Andrew Blough Indiana Public Retirement System
  • 4 Joseph Pace Newton Gabriel Roeder Smith & Company
  • 5 Jolene Roe Deloitte Consulting LLP
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 David Scharf Buck
  • 2 Pete J. Neuwirth CapAcuity
  • 3 Matthew K Mullen Mercer
  • 1 John Malcolm Merrill Nyhart
  • 2 Joan Boughton
  • 3 Brigen L. Winters Groom Law Group
  • 1 Thomas S. Terry The Terry Group
  • 2 Timothy Richard Leier Ecolab Inc.
  • 3 Jerry Mingione The Terry Group
  • 1 Tanya E. Sun Mercer
  • 2 Ian G. Duncan University of California - Santa Barbara
  • 3 Michael Blakeney Alliant
  • 1 David Scharf Buck
  • 2 Joseph S. Adams Winston & Strawn LLP
  • 3 David R. Godofsky Alston & Bird, LLP
  • 1 James Michael Gannon Vanguard Institutional Advisory Services
  • 2 Thomas J. Cassara River and Mercantile
  • 1 Justin N. Hornburg American Benefits Consulting
  • 2 Stuart M. Schulman Buck
  • 3 Timothy Stawicki Willis Towers Watson
  • 4 Margaret Tiller Sherwood Tiller Consulting Group Inc.
  • 1 Justin N. Hornburg American Benefits Consulting
  • 2 Kyle Trombley Johnson Principal Financial Group
  • 3 James Andrew Nolan Segal Consulting
  • 1 Patricia A. Rotello Willis Towers Watson
  • 2 Ruth Hunt Buck
  • 3 Jane H. Jensen Willis Towers Watson
  • 4 Joseph S. Adams Winston & Strawn LLP
  • 5 Robert Bacher
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Mitsuyasu Nishiwaki Willis Towers Watson
  • 2 Jeremy May PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP
  • 3 James Matthew Davies Willis Towers Watson
  • 4 Sam Smith PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP
  • 1 Douglas J. Carey
  • 2 R. Evan Inglis Independent Consultant
  • 3 Christopher W. Marx AllianceBernstein
  • 1 Craig P. Rosenthal Mercer
  • 2 Bruce Cadenhead Mercer
  • 3 Yehuda Benjamin Haber Willis Towers Watson
  • 4 Caroline Pisacka Fidelity Investments
  • 1 Joshua Shapiro Groom Law Group
  • 2 Kenneth A. Kent Cheiron, Inc.
  • 3 Robert J. Kurak Segal
  • 4 Nancy Teague Lee Venuti & Associates
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Mitchell H. Hofing Dexter Hofing LLC
  • 2 James J. McKeogh The McKeogh Company
  • 3 Jay K. Egelberg First Actuarial Consulting, Inc.
  • 4 Darren Michael French Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.
  • 5 Michael I. Helmer Segal Consulting
    (Session Assistant)
  • 1 Tonya B. Manning Buck
  • 2 Meg Gibbon Willis Towers Watson
  • 3 Melissa Chacko Buck
  • 4 Alice Bakley Willis Towers Watson
  • 1 John T. Stokesbury Deloitte Consulting LLP
  • 2 Richard D. Stover Buck
  • 3 Kyle Trombley Johnson Principal Financial Group
  • 4 Donald J. Rueckert Aon
  • 5 Melissa Kemmer Verguldi Lockheed Martin Corporation